Traditionally, Labor Day marks the beginning of the last stretch of the presidential campaign. And in particular, after Labor Day is when polls really start to mean something. People are paying attention. They want to know what’s going on. And polling does begin to pick up that attention. It becomes much more solid. So let’s check out what the averages say at this point in the campaign. In the economist average, Kamala Harris leads 48.4 to 45.1 for Donald Trump. In the Nate Silver average, Harris leads 49.2 to 45.7 for Trump. And in 5:38, minus silver these days, Harris, uh, leads 47.1 to 43.8 for Trump. What does this mean? It means that Harris has a slight but modest and persistent edge in the election. Obviously, the election will be determined in the swing states. And a three point national lead basically translates to an even coin toss of a race in the swing state. In the swing states, if Harris’s lead expands from three points to four points or even five points, that corresponds to a more persistent edge, more reliable edge in the swing states. And if it declines to two or one, then that is not just a coin toss, but I’d say better than even odds for Trump. That’s where things stand. And next Tuesday is a debate. That’ll be the next moment where there could be major change in the campaign. I’m not sure how durable that effect is gonna be. Traditionally, debate effects are not Very durable. But as we’ve seen this year, debates can be pretty consequential. So we’ll tune in next Tuesday, and after that, I’ll give you another update on what I think is the state of the race. But right now, T L D R, Slight Harris Edge. I’d rather be her than. Than be Trump.